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Match Play. Blue leads 5-4 to 7. Should Blue double? If doubled, should White take?
Leading 2-away vs. 3-away is only a 60-40 advantage so Blue should be shy to double, even though it puts the match on the line. He is 27 pips ahead and already has borne off four checkers.
White has three dead checkers and a lot of work to do to win the game. He has a take but it’s no bargain. Not doubling is a double blunder while passing is a 2.5 blunder. White wins 28% of the time which is 3% more than he needs to take.
If you didn’t double this position, you need to think long and hard about your doubling strategy in matches. The position is very volatile. Blue MUST double now.