top of page
Search

2023 - Position 151

Updated: Sep 18, 2023


XGID=---ACBC-a-bC-C----ac-abcb-:0:0:1:11:3:4:0:7:10


Match Play. Blue trails 3-4 to 7. How should Blue play 11?


This problem comes from a training session with one of my students. He had this position in a match and wanted my opinion on it. Even with the Quiz Factor I couldn’t see beyond 6/3, 4/3 which is, as it happens, a double blunder. Why is that the case?


The solution is 13/12, 6/3. How can it be right to expose a blot against a four-and-a-half-point board. Let’s look at specifics. 44 is no longer a joker for White plus 54 now plays very awkwardly. On 33 and 53 Blue gets a triple shot rather than a double shot.


Blue’s winning chances in the initial position are only around 30% so anything that can be done to maximise those chances should be used. The ideas above swap 5.4% gammon losses for 4.9% extra wins. That is a very good trade for Blue and accounts for 6/3, 4/3 being a double blunder.


This is a very difficult problem that only one in a hundred players would get right over the board. It is also an extremely instructive position. When you are losing look for any opportunity to increase your winning chances.

128 views0 comments

Recent Posts

See All

Comments


bottom of page