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  • Writer's pictureChris Bray

2023 Position 143

Updated: Sep 1, 2023


XGID=-a-B-CC-A---bCba-d-e--B-A-:0:0:1:51:0:8:0:11:10


Match Play. 0-0 to 7. Should Blue redouble? If redoubled, should White take?

This is a massive double for Blue. He has four cover numbers and if he misses even a hit by White doesn’t necessarily win the game. White will hit 27% of the time in the next two-roll sequence but he only wins the game 24.5% of the time.


On an initial evaluation XG makes this an easy take but a rollout shows an equity of -0.999 so you can take or drop, and you will be correct! I would take against a stronger player and drop against a weaker one.



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