XGID=--BCBBBA--b-----b-BcAd-d--:0:0:1:65:3:5:0:7:10
Match Play. Red trails 3-5 to 7. How should Red play 65?
All the plays are very close here and an initial evaluation give 20/9 as the best play. However, a long rollout has 20/15, 7/1 as the top move. 20/15 puts pressure on White’s 15-pt whereas 20/9 takes the pressure off. That difference, coupled with Red’s strong home board swings the answer to 20/15, 7/1.
Note that 7/1, 6/1 is the wrong idea. In the event of a hit Red will need his strong home board.
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