2022 - Position 22
Updated: Feb 7, 2022
XGID=aB----CbD---aD--adAd--bA--:0:0:1:00:8:9:0:11:10
Match Play. Red trails 8-9 to 11. Should Red double? If doubled, should White take?
At 3-away vs 2-away you should double early as the trailer and drop early as the leader. This is because the leader’s take point is around 28% (depending upon which match equity table you use). With an increased gammon threat the leader should drop even earlier.
In this position there is a significant gammon threat, so this is definitely a double. White’s ownership of Red’s bar-point gives him a take but it is close. For money, with a fully active cube, this position is no double/take as Red has a lot of work still to do and doubling would be grossly premature.