2021 - Position 62
Updated: Apr 1
Match Play. Red leads 5-2 to 7. Should Red double? If doubled, should White take?
Despite the ability for White to redouble to 4 this is a huge drop. The pip count is false because of White’s wastage. Furthermore, if he hits a shot, he is unlikely to be able to contain the hit blot.
White should drop and play from 2-6 down with 15% match winning chances.
If takes, redoubles and wins he will be 6-5 ahead with 70% match winning chances but he wins from here only 21% of the time and that is not enough.