XGID=-BD-Cb--A---c--Bbc-eB----A:1:-1:1:55:0:0:0:5:10
Match Play. 0-0 to 5. How should Red play 55?
This is not the time to give up the anchor. Red needs to strengthen his position before he does that.
His best plan is to improve his home board if possible. The correct move to do that is bar/20, 15/10(2), 8/3. Initially he hopes to make his 3-pt and then possibly his 6-pt. Only then should he give up his anchor in White’s home board and run for home.
The second-best play is bar/10, 15/10 but that is still an error. Red is not the favourite in this position but he needs to make the most of what he has and the anchor in White’s home board provides his long-term equity.