XGID=-CABbBCB--b-bB-----babbb--:1:-1:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Money Play. How should Red play 43?
Over the board I played 5/2, 5/1 but upon initial analysis XG didn’t like the play, preferring the pay-me-now play of 13/6.
However, on a long rollout my original 5/2, 5/1 is proved to be correct, albeit by only 0.025.
I think the combination of White’s four-and-a-half-point home board and the fact that the remaining blot on the mid-point might not get to safety next turn just swings it in favour of the safe play.
A useful reference position.