2022 - Position 34
Updated: Feb 23
Match Play. Red leads 3-2 to 5. Should Red double? If doubled, should White take?
Leading 2-away vs 3-away makes you a 59% favourite to win the match. That is not a huge edge.
For money this is a mandatory double and an easy take. Red may leave a shot, but the position is volatile and now is the moment to turn the cube.
The score changes things very little. Not doubling is a 2.5 blunder while dropping is also worse than a double blunder.
Waiting until you are gin in positions like this is the wrong tactic. You have the advantage so you should double. Red will win about 71% of the time from here and that is way better than his current 59%.
Sometimes you will lose but that is the nature of the game. So, have the courage of your convictions and double now.