2021 - Position 27

XGID=-BaBaBCC--Bac------bbc-b-A:1:1:1:61:6:5:0:7:10

Match Play. Red leads 6-5 to 7 (post-Crawford). How should Red play 61?

This is effectively DMP. Bar/24, 10/4* wins a much bigger percentage of gammons but they are irrelevant. Red simply wants to win the game.

After bar/24/18 Red will be in the game for a long time, even if he is hit, because he has only one blot. After bar/24, 10/4* and three blots the game could end very quickly. Bar/24/18 wins 3.5% more games and that is a big difference and therefore it is the right play.