XGID=-a-B-CCBA---cB----dcB-bb--:1:-1:1:33:4:4:0:7:10
Match Play. 4-4 to 7. How should Red play 33?
The play to avoid here is 7/1(2)*. That leaves the rear checkers stranded with White favourite to enter next roll.
Red should play either 20/14(2) or 20/17(2) 13/10(2). There is no equity difference between the two plays. The key here is to maintain connectivity. Also, if White fails to escape his rear checker, then a blitz becomes more of a possibility on subsequent rolls.