2020 - Position 189

XGID=a---BBBB-----BAAbb-cAbBbc-:1:1:1:00:5:5:0:9:10

Match Play. 5-5 to 9. Should Red redouble? If redoubled, should White take?

For money this is no redouble but at this score White’s take-point is 33% and gammons will be no good to him.

White is not going to win from here 33% of the time. Too much has to go right for him for that to happen. The rollout gives him 30% chances.

Therefore, this is a redouble and a huge drop. Taking is a quintuple blunder.